Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.357843 1.682108 2.112423 2.749319 3.715475 5.221401 7.990559
2025-11-09 0.978585 1.335418 1.891384 2.910011 5.003046 10.130902 31.323854
2025-11-16 0.768060 1.106783 1.687060 2.910207 6.080985 18.232030 252.256812
2025-11-23 0.628462 0.936030 1.495150 2.789755 6.786954 30.382610 NaN
2025-11-30 0.558014 0.859285 1.441649 2.936252 8.651571 78.793312 NaN
2025-12-07 0.495565 0.780748 1.356223 2.949578 10.216489 244.350426 NaN
2025-12-14 0.440536 0.704637 1.253214 2.854798 11.210792 1073.505441 NaN
2025-12-21 0.399826 0.648738 1.180273 2.815401 12.663312 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.382925 0.636423 1.203925 3.119919 18.519514 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.361419 0.610928 1.188721 3.280676 24.930728 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.336492 0.574556 1.137220 3.265125 29.580279 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.311307 0.534522 1.068114 3.136576 31.678843 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.295233 0.512899 1.045906 3.225904 42.382378 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.283235 0.498795 1.041789 3.412176 65.867175 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.267812 0.475159 1.005691 3.409185 85.581757 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.250749 0.446078 0.948693 3.256910 90.966822 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.242563 0.436500 0.947852 3.441377 168.363245 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.231793 0.419779 0.922237 3.458199 256.568573 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.219587 0.398612 0.879547 3.338599 297.608388 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.209673 0.382084 0.849118 3.289019 415.195166 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.207334 0.383367 0.875587 3.674247 7102.371335 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.202129 0.377174 0.876581 3.879432 NaN NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.194429 0.364175 0.852529 3.859529 NaN NaN NaN